[LEAPSECS] Reliability

Rob Seaman seaman at noao.edu
Mon Jan 5 18:31:44 EST 2009


Adi Stav wrote:


> what problems could exceeding the tolerance(s) cause?


Well covered in the archive. For astronomy, 1 second of time is 15
seconds of arc on the equator. This is a large error (colossal for
some purposes). It doesn't appear that any other industry has
actually performed a coherent risk analysis. For some reason this is
asserted to be the astronomers' responsibility.


> (Especially problems that time zones far from their reference

> meridians, DST switches twice a year, and the difference between

> mean and apparent solar time don't already cause).


This confuses periodic with secular effects, also in the archive.


> A good parallel would be adding leap hours and using the existing

> DST mechanism



Reasons why leap hours won't work are in the archive. There was a
clear consensus from both sides of the aisle that the notion of leap
hours is absurd. Alternately, by relying on shifting timezones, there
would be no underlying stabilized civil timescale permitting
commonsense timekeeping inferences by humans.

By contrast, interval time is important to computers. Computers are
good at computing.


> I don't understand :)



Imagine a version of the Gregorian calendar that interpolates leap
days only every 400 hundred years. That would amount to about 3
months at a time. Since this is a whole season, it is equivalent to
not stabilizing the calendar at all.

Leap hours or tweaking timezones can be interpreted the same way. If
intercalary adjustments are the width of a timezone, no practical
stabilization is occurring.

Rob



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