[LEAPSECS] Metrologia on time
Rob Seaman
seaman at noao.edu
Tue Aug 2 13:53:56 EDT 2011
PHK and I are on the same page with this. By all means announce leap seconds with significantly more notice. - Rob
--
On Aug 2, 2011, at 10:39 AM, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:
> ...
> I find it much more intesting that Bernard Guinot goes on the record
> on page 183:
>
> They are not theoretically predictable, but smooth enough
> for an empirical prediction to less than ±1 s over 3 years
>
> and:
> Tests on real data from 1955 to the present, made by the
> author, have shown that a linear prediction based on one
> year of values of UT1 - TAI led to a maximum error less
> than 0.6 s in two years after the last observed values.
> After three years, the maximum was 1.0 s.
>
> So giving us 3 years notice of leap seconds instead of six months
> should be a total no-brainer.
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