[LEAPSECS] the year 2100
Steve Allen
sla at ucolick.org
Mon Feb 2 21:17:24 EST 2015
On Wed 2015-01-28T17:05:16 +0000, Poul-Henning Kamp hath writ:
> So why don't you simply list all the estimates as we find them ?
>
> As far as I can tell, these guesses/estimates are not inferior to
> the ones you already list ?
>
> Listing them all would be sound science, and maybe the good ol'
> "Trust the median" will eventually help us, given enough estimates ?
I'm not so sure about that median. I remember that science by vote
said the spiral nebulae were inside our own galaxy. Predicting the
evolution of Delta T remains akin to predicting the weather in the
core of the earth, the amount of sea level rise, etc.
I now have a framework for presenting the Delta T estimates that I
know, and for continuing the discussion. This web page lays them out
http://www.ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/year2100.html
If anyone's favorite estimate for Delta T is missing then kindly
point out the citation for its values.
--
Steve Allen <sla at ucolick.org> WGS-84 (GPS)
UCO/Lick Observatory--ISB Natural Sciences II, Room 165 Lat +36.99855
1156 High Street Voice: +1 831 459 3046 Lng -122.06015
Santa Cruz, CA 95064 http://www.ucolick.org/~sla/ Hgt +250 m
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