[LEAPSECS] My FOSDEM slides
Brooks Harris
brooks at edlmax.com
Wed Mar 4 04:07:02 EST 2015
On 2015-03-04 02:12 AM, michael.deckers via LEAPSECS wrote:
>
> On 2015-03-03 21:05, Martin Burnicki wrote about
> negative leap seconds:
>
>> In the 7 year interval where no leap second was required/scheduled I
>> heard
>> several people saying we might have needed a negative leap second.
>
> Fortunately, this is not a matter of speculation. An easy way to
> see the trend of UT1 - UTC is to look at DUT1 (published in
> Bulletin D). DUT1 is an approximation to UT1 - UTC and has
> always stepped down (except, of course, at positive leap seconds),
> ever since the earliest Bulletin D available on the web (1991-06-20).
>
> Before a negative leap seconds would be scheduled, we would see
> DUT1 stepping up several times in a row, so there _is_ some
> advance warning.
>
We can't predict the future. It's fascinating to read about the many
factors affecting Earth's rotation. It seems the largest one is the one
we know least about - the Earth's core. I wonder what DUT1 would have
looked like around the time of the Chicxulub impactor.
Negative Leap Seconds have been a feature of the specification since the
beginning. It gives a little more margin to accommodate the unknown, and
it's not an onerous complication. I hope we concentrate on helping get
implementations to conform to the UTC specs as they stand rather than
look for justifications to over simplify the problem.
-Brooks
> Michael Deckers.
>
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