[LEAPSECS] LEAPSECS Digest, Vol 153, Issue 3
Poul-Henning Kamp
phk at phk.freebsd.dk
Wed Jul 15 13:11:05 EDT 2020
--------
> I haven't re-run the statistics. I'd still bet that the
> average LOD stays constant at its latest several-year average value for
> the next ten years, meaning no negative leap second. But I'd
> lower the ante :)
If we keep leap-seconds, I would bet even dollars (ie: a 50/50
probability) on at least one (and probably only one) negative
leap-second before the 2K38 time_t roll over.
This is an unscientific hunch, but based on scientific data: I see
far more co-trending in DUT1 and climate model result than I am
comfortable with.
--
Poul-Henning Kamp | UNIX since Zilog Zeus 3.20
phk at FreeBSD.ORG | TCP/IP since RFC 956
FreeBSD committer | BSD since 4.3-tahoe
Never attribute to malice what can adequately be explained by incompetence.
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