[StBernard] Blanco decision a relief

Westley Annis westley at da-parish.com
Thu Mar 29 06:49:49 EDT 2007



>From what I've read in a few articles, it seems as though Northern Louisiana

will be a possible king-maker in this race. Last time, they weren't fond of
Bobby for some varying reasons (i.e. Indian ancestry). Hopefully they'll be
able to get over it this time. Also, it will be fun to watch Acadiana if
Breaux is in the race.

JLY


-----------------------------------------------------
Blanco decision a relief

Levee failures and the Road Home program ended any chance for Gov.
Blanco to
be re-elected. Her recent decision to bow out of the race allows
Republicans
to focus their firepower on former Sen. John Breaux.
By John Maginnis , Columnist

When Gov. Kathleen Blanco said last week she was "planning" to run
for
governor, hardly anyone believed it anymore. The state Republican
Party had
already moved on to attacking former Sen. John Breaux, who is
neither a
candidate nor a registered voter here, in hopes he stays that way.
With
Congressman Bobby Jindal putting off campaigning so as not to blow
his huge
lead in the polls, the only two candidates actively running, state
Sen.
Walter Boasso, R-Chalmette, and Public Service Commissioner Foster
Campbell,
D-Elm Grove, generated scant interest from the body politic, whose
attention
seemed fixed on when the big shoe would drop.
It came down not as a surprise but rapidly nonetheless, from first
leak to
televised announcement in a matter of hours, appropriately, on the
last day
of winter. The first reaction of many both in and out of politics
was
relief, for her and for us, not to have to go through an election
that is
consumed by the worst of our past.

With a good economy, her own hard work and a scandal-free
administration,
Blanco was uneventfully but deliberately on her way to re-election
when she
was undone by two man-made disasters: the levee failures and her own
Road
Home program (the latter was supposed to resurrect her fortunes but
finished
them off instead). The only purely natural disaster she faced,
Hurricane
Rita, she handled pretty well.

In looking ahead to the campaign that was not to be, she said she
had a
story to tell and looked forward to telling it. The people didn't.
They had
seen the same story, with images so vivid that she was not going to
supplant
them with 30-second commercials.

There will be time for a full assessment of her one term, which
still has
critical days ahead. But the state has a new governor to elect
first, as it
waits for the next shoe to drop.

For a statewide election campaign to be on hold until John Breaux
decides if
he wants to enter it has become a regular occurrence, almost a
ritual. The
last races for governor and U.S. senator did not start until he
passed on
them. This time, according to those he spoke with, he was only
waiting for
Blanco to get out the way.

Republicans, disappointed to not have Blanco to kick around a while
longer,
have been trying to give Breaux second and third thoughts about
making the
plunge. The state party's recent commercials pretty much call the
Democrats'
native son a political illegal alien and plundering carpetbagger,
who
deserted his state for a big-money lobbying gig and
multimillion-dollar
Maryland mansion.

Also, a so-called confidential memo being widely circulated matches
up
legislation filed by the former senator with the benefiting
businesses who
hired his son, John Jr., as a lobbyist. The not-so-confidential
message to
Breaux is: if you run, we're coming after you, your family, your
house and
your dog. It's all fair game, and unfair, too.

If he runs, he will have to address the citizenship issue squarely,
starting
by re-registering to vote in Louisiana. The lack of a clear
definition of
"citizen," which the constitution requires a gubernatorial candidate
to be
for the five preceding years, as well as state courts' liberal
interpretation of candidate qualifications, favor him legally.

Politically is another matter. He will be hammered on that issue and
a
closet full of opposition research on his 40 years of public
service,
starting with his first boss, Edwin Edwards. Having not faced the
voters in
almost a decade, the first polls are bound to show him trailing
Jindal
badly.

But issues that seem so big initially have a way of working
themselves out
over the course of a long campaign and not being decisive in the
end. If a
governor's race between Breaux and Jindal is meant to be, it will be
the
watershed election of our times, and will go down to the wire in
October,
regardless of what crops up in the first weeks of spring.





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