[LEAPSECS] WP7A status and Re: clinical evidence about time and	sun
    Rob Seaman 
    seaman at noao.edu
       
    Thu Dec 18 16:23:57 EST 2008
    
    
  
On Dec 18, 2008, at 9:15 AM, John Cowan wrote:
> The median number of changes over the century-give-or-take of standard
> time (exactly when standard time begins depends on the jurisdiction)
> is 3, minimum 1, maximum 17 (!), mean 3.94, standard deviation 2.88.
> Even if we ignore all changes before the Unix epoch, we still have 545
> changes in 231 jurisdictions.
And how precisely is this making your point?  In the absence of a  
coherent zoneinfo scheme like Steve Allen's, you are asserting that  
the (literally) rock solid basis of mean solar time anchored deep in  
the Earth, be replaced with a completely unreliable mapping that  
varies under diverse authority both in geographic location and by  
decade and century.  Historians and scientists interested not only in  
marking time - but in doing something useful with it - will mock this  
effort.
Again - civil time is clearly a flavor of mean solar time, whether or  
not we decide to cheat by embargoing leap seconds or by sloshing the  
timezones around.  For example, we have sent missions to Mars, and the  
obvious and immediate response of the projects operating equipment on  
the surface was to establish a mission clock synchronized to Martian  
mean solar time.
There are two types of time - interval and Earth orientation.  Civil  
time clearly has more to do with the latter than the former.   
Technological systems often (but not always) rely more on the former  
than the latter.  Get over it.  That's just the way it is.  Design  
systems that recognize such requirements.
The ITU report recently circulated infers from the (non-unanimous)  
support within WP7A for emasculating UTC that some consensus has been  
reached.  Rather, the disagreements that continue year after year on  
this mailing list are closer to expressing the true fact that no such  
consensus exists.  In the absence of consensus, no decision should be  
taken.   Conferences and other opportunities for face-to-face debate  
and wrangling, research publications detailing the logistical,  
technical, historical, sociological, political, scientific and other  
aspects of civil timekeeping should be produced.  Grants should be  
pursued to carry out this research.  Proper system engineering best  
practices should be followed to conduct trade-off studies and risk  
analyses, and so forth and so on.
Why is this controversial?
At the very least, someone promoting this proposal should show the  
rest of the world and themselves the respect of creating some sort of  
actual plan for what options might exist when the embargoed leap  
seconds turn into minutes and hours.  The proposal is intellectually  
embarrassing as it stands.
Rob
    
    
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